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Business
Bartleby: When to trust your gut
Deliberation is not always the best option
Humans have been honed over millions of years of evolution to respond to certain situations without thinking too hard.
If your ancestors spotted movement in the undergrowth, they would run first and grunt questions later.
At the same time, the capacity to analyse and to plan is part of what distinguishes people from other animals.
The question of when to trust your gut and when to test your assumptions―whether to think fast or slow, in the language of Daniel Kahneman, a psychologist―matters in the office as much as it does in the savannah.
Deliberative thinking is the hallmark of a well-managed workplace.
Strategic overhauls and budget discussions are built on rounds of meetings, memos, formulas and presentations.
Processes are increasingly designed to stamp out instinctive responses.
From blind screening of job applicants to using “red-teaming” techniques to pick apart a firm’s plans, rigour trumps reflex.
Yet instinct also has its place.
Some decisions are more connected to emotional responses and inherently less tractable to analysis.
Does a marketing campaign capture the essence of your company, say, or would this person work well with other people in a team?
In sticky customer-service situations, intuition is often a better guide to how to behave than a script.
Gut instincts can also be improved (call it “probiotic management”).
Plenty of research has shown that intuition becomes more unerring with experience.
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巴托比:何时该相信直觉
深思熟虑并不总是最佳选项
经过数百万年的进化,人类已经被磨练得可以在不费力思考的情况下对某些情况做出反应。
我们的祖先发现灌木丛中有动静时,都会先跑起来,然后再咕哝着问问题。
然而,人类与其他动物的一个区别就是,人类有分析和计划的能力。
什么时候该相信直觉,什么时候该验证假设--用心理学家丹尼尔・卡内曼的话来说,是快思考还是慢思考--这个问题在职场上,和在大草原上一样重要。
深思熟虑是工作场所管理有方的标志。
一轮轮会议、备忘录、方案和演示是进行战略改革和预算讨论的基础。
为了杜绝本能反应,有越来越多流程被设计出来。
小到盲选求职者,大到使用“红队策略”来打磨公司的计划,严谨都胜过本能反应。
不过,本能也有用武之地。
有些判断就更多用到情绪反应,本质上难以通过分析下决断。
比如,判断营销活动是否充分体现了公司的本质,或是看一个人能否与团队中的其他人合作良好?
在棘手的客户服务情况下,直觉往往比脚本更能指导如何行事。
直觉能力也能够得到提高(可以称之为“益生菌管理”)。
大量研究表明,随着经验的积累,直觉会变得更加准确。
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