In the tool that we've built, what we did was we collected 1.5 million cases from all around the United States,from cities, from counties, from every single state in the country, the federal districts.And with those 1.5 million cases, which is the largest data set on pretrial in the United States today,we were able to basically find that there were 900-plus risk factors that we could look at to try to figure out what mattered most.And we found that there were nine specific things that mattered all across the country and that were the most highly predictive of risk.And so we built a universal risk assessment tool. And it looks like this. As you'll see, we put some information in,but most of it is incredibly simple, it's easy to use, it focuses on things like the defendant's prior convictions,whether they've been sentenced to incarceration, whether they've engaged in violence before,whether they've even failed to come back to court. And with this tool, we can predict three things.First, whether or not someone will commit a new crime if they're released.Second, for the first time, and I think this is incredibly important,we can predict whether someone will commit an act of violence if they're released.And that's the single most important thing that judges say when you talk to them.And third, we can predict whether someone will come back to court.And every single judge in the United States of America can use it, because it's been created on a universal data set.What judges see if they run the risk assessment tool is this -- it's a dashboard.At the top, you see the New Criminal Activity Score, six of course being the highest,
在这个已经建立的这个工具里，我们收集了150万个案件，来自美国各地，包括城市，县，国内的每个州，联邦区。有了那150万个案例，这是美国审判前最大的数据库。截止到今天，我们基本上能够找到我们可以查看的九百多个危险因素，试着找出最重要的问题。我们发现具体有九件事在全国范围内都很重要，是可预测的最高风险。于是我们建立了一种通用的风险评估工具。它看起来就像这个。正如你所看到的，我们把一些信息列在上面，但大多数都格外简单，它使用起来很容易，它侧重的方面是被告的前科，他们是否曾被判处监禁，他们是否曾被卷入过暴力事件，他们是否甚至没能回到法庭。使用此工具，我们可以预测三件事。第一，如果被释放的话，他们是否会再次犯罪。第二，我第一次觉得，这一点非常重要，如果被释放的话，我们可以预测他们是否会进行暴力活动。当你向他们问话的时候，法官说这是最重要的一件事。第三，我们可以预测他们是否会回到法庭。美国的任何一名法官都可以使用它，因为它是由通用的数据库制成的。如果他们使用了这个风险评估工具你就会看到这个--一个评分板。在顶部，是新的刑事犯罪活动评分，六当然是最高分，
暂无注释
